Proving Claims – Analyzing Sexxy Red’s Claims that Trump Will Win the Hood
It is difficult to make generalized accounts claims of the support of a political leader in a given community without concrete evidence. The interview by Sexxy Red, where she claimed that Trump enjoys support in the hood’ received significant pushback. One of the major criticisms of her view is that the hood consists of diverse communities. In her interview, she appeared to claim that the hood will vote uniformly. Also, her assertion has been questioned since it was not backed by raw data, poll outcome records, public endorsements, and notable trends within the community. Red’s claim was not backed by any evidence, and it appears to be a personal opinion based on her support for Trump. Although Trump enjoys support from the so-called hood rappers, including Kanye West, it is not enough to conclude that he enjoys the support of an entire community. Since Sexxy Red failed to attach evidence to show that Trump enjoys the backing of the hood, the claims are mere speculation based on assumption and hearsay, and they cannot hold water.
The increasingly diverse US communities in the US contradict Red’s confidence about Trump winning the hood. Due to immigration, American communities have become increasingly diverse, and no single community can vote uniformly. As people from across the world come to the US to settle, traditional communities that traditionally experienced socio-political harmony experience diversity (Lewis & Hoynes, 2019). Such diversity reflects voting patterns and other civic engagement endeavors. Notably, most migrants to the US mostly settle in cities, and they seldom consider settling around people with whom they share social linkages (Lewis & Hoynes, 2019). The limited social linkages have led US voters to vote differently than they would if they were harmonious, hence limited social outcomes.
As immigrants settle in different neighborhoods, they experience different social problems. Those settling in low-income neighborhoods suffer from the endemic security problem and police brutality. On the other hand, citizens living in industrialized cities mostly face job loss issues due to the entry of the immigrant population. Since Democrats’ campaign platform revolves around police accountability, they may get support from Black and Latino communities living in low-income neighborhoods. Republicans receive support from Black and Latino communities in industrialized communities, who feel that immigrants will take their jobs. As such, Sexxy Red’s assertion that Trump enjoys support in the hood does not hold water since she did not consider the socioeconomic factors that affect voting patterns.
Furthermore, Sexxy Red failed to consider the political and romantic value of the vote in African American Ghettos. Black Americans treat the right to vote as a privilege, although they have had the right for the past two centuries. The community understandably considers it a privilege since there were times they could not vote due to racial segregation. After the passage of the 15th Amendment in 1870, all citizens were allowed to vote regardless of their racial affiliation (Burkett, 2006). At the forefront of the campaign to include African Americans in voting were the Democratic Party and the Progressive wing of the Republican Party. Fast forward to the Civil Rights Movement era in the 1960s, the Democratic party played a significant role in fighting for more African Americans to vote (Burkett, 2006). Since then, African Americans have identified with the Democratic party as their defender, and their loyalty remains resilient. Sexxy Red failed to note this closely-knit attachment between African Americans in the hood with the Democratic Party and their resilient support for the Democratic candidates. Besides, Trump is considered a conservative Republican, a wing that supported African American segregation in civic engagement. Based on the significant value African Americans attach to voting, they are unlikely to support Trump.
Moreover, recent poll surveys show that Biden still enjoys the majority backing by African American voters. Biden enjoys the support of 63% of African American adult voters, indicating that Black American voters support Biden the most compared to any other race (Booker, 2023). The poll survey happened between November 8-30, and included 3,448 voters, and was conducted on the Internet, targeting 50 states and the District of Columbia (Booker, 2023). Notably, the poll survey indicates that Biden has lost support in this voting bloc since he enjoyed more support in the 2020 exit polls.
Biden is way ahead of Trump, and the pattern will likely tilt in his favor as the election date draws near. Besides, 57% of Asian and Pacific Islanders indicate that they are still likely to support Biden, and they constitute part of the voting bloc considered to be the hood (Booker, 2023). As the election draws nearer, the Democratic Party’s candidate support in the hood will grow once his campaign intensifies messaging on why African American voters are likely to vote for Biden. Despite the growing discontent with Biden, poll results show that he still enjoys significant support from Black Americans in the hood, and this indicates that Sexxy Red erred by claiming that Trump will decisively win the hood.
Also, midterm election results and the high turnout by Black voters show that the Democratic Party still enjoys its significant traditional following by Black American voters. One area of concern that tilted some midterm election results toward the Democratic Party is the fear of losing a majority seat in the Senate (Staff, 2022). There is a feeling that if the GOP wins majority seats in the Senate, it is likely to sideline the Democratic Party’s policies.
The impact of the Democratic Party’s rooting for pro-Blacks policies has been valuable in Georgia. A former Republican stronghold, Georgia has become blue due to intense rallying by notable Democratic Party figures, such as Stacy Abram (Staff, 2022). Abram lost the Gubernatorial Seat in 2018, but she has since led efforts to bolster the popularity of the Democratic Party in Georgia. For instance, Reverend Raphael Warnock won the senatorial, pulling a surprise in a state traditionally considered majorly red (Staff, 2022). One of the policy platforms that has won Black voters is the reproductive health advocacy, which will allow abortions. Also, Democrats are running on a platform of advocating for health insurance coverage, an issue resonating with Black voters. In light of the recent wins by the Democratic Party in midterms and Gubernatorial seats, Trump is unlikely to defeat Biden on the Black vote.
Another critical aspect that contradicts Sexxy Red’s assertion is the endorsements in favor of Biden. Biden received a major endorsement from the Auto Workers’ Union (AWU) as the election draws close, and this is likely to tilt the election in his favor. AWU has 400,000 members, with many coming from major political battlegrounds in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin (Gonyea, 2024). Other major labor unions have also endorsed Biden. Notably, most labor unions have traditionally supported Democrats, with 58-60% of their members voting for Democratic candidates (Gonyea, 2024). Endorsements contribute toward a candidate winning an election based on past examples. For instance, in 2008, despite not having endorsed any presidential candidate, Oprah Winfrey endorsed Obama’s campaign in 2008, contributing to his win (Garthwaite & Moore, 2012). Political endorsements are critical since they give candidates positive press coverage (Garthwaite & Moore, 2012). Biden’s endorsement will positively contribute to his campaign coverage and possible subsequent win. Sexxy Red did not mention any major endorsements Trump has received, further downgrading her assertion that Trump will win the hood and subsequently win the election.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Sexxy Red’s claim that Trump will win the hood is unfounded. The assertion suggests that people in the hood vote uniformly, but that is not true since communities have become diverse, and there are limited social links that can make people vote uniformly. Also, Red failed to consider the Black Americans’ historical and resilient attachment to the Democratic Party since the Civil Movement era in the 1960s. The voting bloc appreciates the Democratic Party’s contribution toward their right to vote, and this is not likely to change overnight. Further, recent poll surveys indicate that Biden still enjoys majority backing from the black community, although it has reduced compared to the previous election. When campaigns kick off officially, the Democratic Party is likely to win more support once they explain why supporting their candidate is the best decision for them. Cognizant of these factors, the midterm election outcomes, and political endorsement in Biden’s favor, Biden will likely win the 2024 election, albeit by a small margin.
References
Booker, B. (2023, December 12). What the polls tell us about Biden and voters of color. POLITICO. https://www.politico.com/newsletters/the-recast/2023/12/12/genforward-poll-biden-voters-of-color-00131321
Burkett, M. (2006). Strategic voting and African-Americans: True vote, true representation, true power for the Black community. Social Science Research Network.
Garthwaite, C., & Moore, T. J. (2012). Can celebrity endorsements affect political outcomes? Evidence from the 2008 US Democratic Presidential Primary. Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, 29(2), 355–384. https://doi.org/10.1093/jleo/ewr031
Gonyea, D. (2024, January 24). Biden lands a potentially major endorsement for president — the UAW. NPR. https://www.npr.org/2024/01/24/1226703384/biden-lands-a-potentially-major-endorsement-for-president-the-uaw
Lewis, J., & Hoynes, H. (2019). Demographics and the implications for voter participation in US counties. https://www.econ.berkeley.edu/sites/default/files/Lewis_Julia_Senior%20Honors%20Thesis.pdf
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Question 
This writing lab is designed to teach you how to write in order to prove a claim. It is very easy to make over-generalized statements in analytical essays. But it is not what you know, it is what you can prove.
Proving Claims
Recently, rapper Sexxy Red conducted an interview with comedian and podcaster Theo Von. While appearing on the This Past Weekend Podcast, Sexxy Red made the claim that previous President Donald J. Trump has strong support “in the hood.” Click HERELinks to an external site. to see the clip.
Your job is to prove or disprove her claim. Is the claim she made factual? Can it be backed by evidence? Or is she making an overgeneralized claim that can be easily disproven? Or is she making a claim that can be true, it is just that it has yet to be proven. You will investigate Sexxy Red’s claim and find the evidence to either support her claim or disprove it. Is she correct? Or is she making unverifiable claims? With the sources you collect, you must also predict the outcome of the 2024 election.
For this essay, you will use primary and secondary source data. You are learning the very important skill of synthesizing and analyzing raw data and developing your own interpretation. Examples of primary sources you can tap. into our voting records from the 2016 election, campaign speeches, interviews among voters, social media posts, legislation, policies, and executive orders signed by Donald Trump while in office.
This writing lab will also deal with the issue of length. You will submit five full pages of written content, not including your bibliography section. The goal is to get you comfortable with distance writing.
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